Pre-tourney Rankings
San Francisco
West Coast
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#81
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#74
Pace66.7#202
Improvement+5.6#12

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#54
Improvement-1.2#244

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#131
Improvement+6.8#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2013 93   Cleveland St. W 91-82 64%     1 - 0 +11.8 +12.2 -1.0
  Nov 15, 2013 139   Nevada L 90-92 76%     1 - 1 -2.9 +10.3 -13.1
  Nov 18, 2013 254   Idaho St. L 90-93 OT 90%     1 - 2 -10.7 -1.8 -8.4
  Nov 22, 2013 219   @ Montana W 75-74 74%     2 - 2 +0.6 +1.9 -1.3
  Nov 24, 2013 24   @ Oregon L 82-100 18%     2 - 3 -1.8 +2.5 -1.6
  Nov 29, 2013 89   Vermont W 72-61 62%     3 - 3 +14.2 +7.0 +8.2
  Nov 30, 2013 150   Illinois St. L 76-90 77%     3 - 4 -15.4 -4.6 -8.9
  Dec 14, 2013 306   Nicholls St. W 77-48 95%     4 - 4 +16.6 +2.8 +15.5
  Dec 18, 2013 35   @ St. John's L 57-81 24%     4 - 5 -10.1 -6.2 -3.9
  Dec 22, 2013 124   American W 77-69 72%     5 - 5 +8.2 +19.1 -9.6
  Dec 28, 2013 110   @ Portland W 87-81 OT 49%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +12.7 +17.9 -5.1
  Dec 30, 2013 23   @ Gonzaga L 41-69 17%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -11.6 -22.0 +10.1
  Jan 02, 2014 174   Loyola Marymount W 75-61 82%     7 - 6 2 - 1 +10.6 +4.9 +6.6
  Jan 04, 2014 156   Pepperdine W 76-66 79%     8 - 6 3 - 1 +8.0 +2.2 +6.0
  Jan 09, 2014 153   @ Pacific W 81-72 OT 60%     9 - 6 4 - 1 +12.8 +0.7 +11.4
  Jan 11, 2014 69   @ St. Mary's L 73-88 36%     9 - 7 4 - 2 -4.9 +15.5 -22.9
  Jan 16, 2014 47   BYU L 76-83 46%     9 - 8 4 - 3 +0.4 +2.4 -1.7
  Jan 18, 2014 133   San Diego W 64-62 75%     10 - 8 5 - 3 +1.5 +4.2 -2.3
  Jan 25, 2014 152   Santa Clara W 75-66 78%     11 - 8 6 - 3 +7.4 +3.7 +4.1
  Jan 29, 2014 110   Portland W 84-71 69%     12 - 8 7 - 3 +14.1 +21.2 -5.5
  Feb 01, 2014 23   Gonzaga L 65-75 33%     12 - 9 7 - 4 +0.8 -4.2 +5.5
  Feb 06, 2014 133   @ San Diego W 74-67 55%     13 - 9 8 - 4 +12.1 +8.1 +4.3
  Feb 08, 2014 47   @ BYU L 63-68 26%     13 - 10 8 - 5 +8.0 -2.9 +10.7
  Feb 15, 2014 152   @ Santa Clara W 69-63 60%     14 - 10 9 - 5 +9.9 +5.3 +5.3
  Feb 20, 2014 69   St. Mary's W 73-62 57%     15 - 10 10 - 5 +15.5 +12.8 +4.5
  Feb 22, 2014 153   Pacific W 64-59 78%     16 - 10 11 - 5 +3.3 -7.9 +11.5
  Feb 27, 2014 156   @ Pepperdine W 77-53 61%     17 - 10 12 - 5 +27.6 +6.3 +21.7
  Mar 01, 2014 174   @ Loyola Marymount W 65-61 66%     18 - 10 13 - 5 +6.2 +1.8 +4.9
  Mar 08, 2014 133   San Diego W 69-60 65%     19 - 10 +11.3 +5.6 +6.6
  Mar 10, 2014 47   BYU L 77-79 OT 36%     19 - 11 +8.2 +2.6 +5.8
Projected Record 19.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%